Market

10 banks that may face trouble in the wake of the SVB Financial Group debacle

[ad_1]

(Updated with news of Silicon Valley Bank’s failure.)

As interest rates have risen, many banks have become more profitable because the spreads between what they earn on loans and investments and what they pay for funding has widened. But there are always exceptions.

Below is a screen of banks that are bucking the industry trend of expanding net interest margins, followed by another list of banks whose margins have widened the most over the past year.

On March 8, SVB Financial Group
SIVB
sold $21 billion in securities for a loss of $1.8 billion. SVB was the holding company for Silicon Valley Bank of Santa Clara, Calif. It had $212 billion in assets as of Dec. 31.

The bank said it was repositioning to “increase asset sensitivity, to take advantage of the potential for higher short-term rates, partially lock-in funding costs, better protect net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM), and enhance profitability.”

The bank had long focused on lending to and gathering deposits from venture capital firms. It said on March 8 that “client cash burn has remained elevated and increased further in February, resulting in lower deposits than forecasted.”

Silicon Valley Bank wasn’t able to sooth customers sufficiently to prevent a run on deposits. So it was closed by California regulators on Friday and handed over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

The entire banking industry seemed to take it on the chin on March 9, with the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index
BKX
sinking 8%.

Another bank whose stock dropped amid concerns over liquidity was Signature Bank
SBNY
of New York, which issued a statement meant to calm depositors and shareholders. Signature Bank’s shares fell 12% on March 9 and were down another 24% in premarket late trading on March 10.

Red margin flags

Before SVB Financial decided to take such a dramatic step, the movement of its net interest margin was signaling that the bank wasn’t well positioned for the combination of rising interest rates and slowing loan growth in the venture capital space.

A bank’s net interest margin is the spread between its average yield on loans and investments and its average cost for deposits and borrowings. This is an annualized calculation. Here’s how the NIM moved for SVB Financial over the past year:

Bank

Ticker

NIM – Q4 2022

NIM – Q3 2022

NIM – Q2 2022

NIM – Q1 2022

NIM- Q4 2021

SVB Financial Group

SIVB 2.00%

2.28%

2.24%

2.13%

1.91%

Source: FactSet

SVB’s net interest margin narrowed considerably during the fourth quarter, and it widened only slightly from the year-earlier quarter.

So now the question is which other banks might face pressure because their net interest margins have contracted, or because their margins have only expanded slighlty?

Starting with a list of U.S. banks with total assets of at least $10 billion, and removing purer investment banks, such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
GS
and Morgan Stanley
MS,
we looked at 108 banks.

A uniform set of net interest margins for the past five quarters isn’t available from FactSet for the full group — it is only available for 56 of the banks. So instead, we screened for net interest income (total interest income less total interest expense) divided by average total assets.

By this screen, 102 of 108 banks showed expanding margins for the fourth quarter from a year earlier.

Here are the 10 showing contracting margins over the past year, or the smallest expansions of margins:

Bank

Ticker

City

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q4 2022

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q3 2022

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q4 2021

One-year contraction or expansion

Customers Bancorp Inc.

CUBI West Reading, Pa.

2.61%

3.10%

4.03%

-1.42%

First Republic Bank

FRC San Francisco, Calif.

2.28%

2.53%

2.50%

-0.22%

Sandy Spring Bancorp Inc.

SASR Olney, Md.

3.10%

3.34%

3.29%

-0.19%

New York Community Bancorp Inc.

NYCB Hicksville, N.Y.

2.10%

2.06%

2.20%

-0.11%

First Foundation Inc.

FFWM Dallas, Texas

2.35%

2.98%

2.41%

-0.07%

Ally Financial Inc.

ALLY Detroit, Mich.

4.04%

4.20%

4.09%

-0.05%

Dime Community Bancshares Inc.

DCOM Hauppauge, N.Y.

2.98%

3.20%

2.95%

0.03%

Pacific Premier Bancorp Inc.

PPBI Irvine, Calif.

3.34%

3.34%

3.27%

0.07%

Prosperity Bancshares Inc.

PB Houston, Texas

2.72%

2.78%

2.65%

0.07%

Columbia Financial Inc.

CLBK Fair Lawn, N.J.

2.69%

2.78%

2.60%

0.09%

Source: FactSet

Click on the tickers for more about each bank.

Read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

SVB Financial ranked 11th worst in the screen, with net interest income/average assets of 1.93% in the fourth quarter, up from 1.83% in the year-earlier quarter.

Most margin improvement

To end on a positive note, these banks showed the widest expansion of margins, based on net interest income divided by average assets:

Bank

Ticker

City

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q4, 2022

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q3, 2022

Net interest income/ avg. assets – Q4, 2021

One-year expansion

Comerica Inc.

CMA Dallas, Texas

3.54%

3.31%

1.91%

1.63%

First Horizon Corp.

FHN Memphis, Tenn.

3.57%

3.21%

2.24%

1.33%

M&T Bank Corp.

MTB Buffalo, N.Y.

3.68%

3.34%

2.37%

1.31%

Stellar Bancorp Inc.

STEL Houston, Texas

4.16%

3.95%

2.85%

1.31%

Enterprise Financial Services Corp.

EFSC Clayton, Mo.

4.28%

3.78%

3.08%

1.20%

Berkshire Hills Bancorp Inc.

BHLB Boston, Mass.

3.61%

3.26%

2.43%

1.18%

East West Bancorp Inc.

EWBC Pasadena, Calif.

3.77%

3.50%

2.61%

1.16%

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc.

TCBI Dallas, Texas

3.22%

3.01%

2.08%

1.14%

Wintrust Financial Corp.

WTFC Rosemont, Ill.

3.51%

3.17%

2.41%

1.10%

WSFS Financial Corp.

WSFS Wilmington, Del.

3.90%

3.50%

2.81%

1.09%

Source: FactSet

Following up: 20 banks that are sitting on huge potential securities losses—as was SVB

[ad_2]

Source link

Jake

Jacob Keiter is a husband, a writer, a journalist, a musician, and a business owner. His journey to becoming a writer was one that was paved with challenges, but ultimately led him to find his true calling. Jacob's early years were marked by a strong desire for creative expression. He was always drawn to music, and in his youth, he played in several bands, chasing the elusive promise of fame and success. However, despite his best efforts, Jacob struggled to find the recognition he craved. It wasn't until he hit a low point in his life that Jacob discovered his love for writing. He turned to writing as a form of therapy during a particularly difficult time, and found that it not only helped him to cope with his struggles, but also allowed him to express himself in a way that he had never been able to before. Jacob's writing skills quickly caught the attention of others, and he soon found himself working as a journalist for The Sun out of Hummelstown. From there, he went on to contribute to a variety of publications, including the American Bee Journal and Referee Magazine. Jacob's writing style is reflective of traditional journalism, but he also infuses his work with a unique voice that sets him apart from others in his field. Despite his success as a writer, Jacob also owns another business, JJ Auto & Home, which specializes in cleaning. Jacob's commitment to excellence is evident in all of his endeavors, whether it be in his writing or in his business ventures. Today, Jacob is the author of two books and continues to inspire others through his writing. His journey to becoming a writer serves as a reminder that sometimes our darkest moments can lead us to our greatest achievements.

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *